Echocardiographic Predictors of Worse Outcome After Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy

Abstract Background: Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) is the recommended treatment by leading global guidelines. However, 30%-40% of selected patients are non-responders. Objective: To develop an echocardiographic model to predict cardiac death or transplantation (Tx) 1 year after CRT. Method: Observational, prospective study, with the inclusion of 116 patients, aged 64.89 ± 11.18 years, 69.8% male, 68,1% in NYHA FC III and 31,9% in FC IV, 71.55% with left bundle-branch block, and median ejection fraction (EF) of 29%. Evaluations were made in the pre‑implantation period and 6-12 months after that, and correlated with cardiac mortality/Tx at the end of follow-up. Cox and logistic regression analyses were performed with ROC and Kaplan-Meier curves. The model was internally validated by bootstrapping. Results: There were 29 (25%) deaths/Tx during follow-up of 34.09 ± 17.9 months. Cardiac mortality/Tx was 16.3%. In the multivariate Cox model, EF < 30%, grade III/IV diastolic dysfunction and grade III mitral regurgitation at 6‑12 months were independently related to increased cardiac mortality or Tx, with hazard ratios of 3.1, 4.63 and 7.11, respectively. The area under the ROC curve was 0.78. Conclusion: EF lower than 30%, severe diastolic dysfunction and severe mitral regurgitation indicate poor prognosis 1 year after CRT. The combination of two of those variables indicate the need for other treatment options.

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Main Authors: Rocha,Eduardo Arrais, Pereira,Francisca Tatiana Moreira, Abreu,José Sebastião, Lima,José Wellington O., Monteiro,Marcelo de Paula M., Rocha Neto,Almino Cavalcante, Quidute,Ana Rosa Pinto, Goés,Camilla Viana A., Rodrigues Sobrinho,Carlos Roberto Martins, Scanavacca,Maurício Ibrahim
Format: Digital revista
Language:English
Published: Sociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia - SBC 2015
Online Access:http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0066-782X2015002500552
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spelling oai:scielo:S0066-782X20150025005522016-01-06Echocardiographic Predictors of Worse Outcome After Cardiac Resynchronization TherapyRocha,Eduardo ArraisPereira,Francisca Tatiana MoreiraAbreu,José SebastiãoLima,José Wellington O.Monteiro,Marcelo de Paula M.Rocha Neto,Almino CavalcanteQuidute,Ana Rosa PintoGoés,Camilla Viana A.Rodrigues Sobrinho,Carlos Roberto MartinsScanavacca,Maurício Ibrahim Heart Failure/ mortality Echocardiography Pacemaker, Artificial Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Risk Factors Abstract Background: Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) is the recommended treatment by leading global guidelines. However, 30%-40% of selected patients are non-responders. Objective: To develop an echocardiographic model to predict cardiac death or transplantation (Tx) 1 year after CRT. Method: Observational, prospective study, with the inclusion of 116 patients, aged 64.89 ± 11.18 years, 69.8% male, 68,1% in NYHA FC III and 31,9% in FC IV, 71.55% with left bundle-branch block, and median ejection fraction (EF) of 29%. Evaluations were made in the pre‑implantation period and 6-12 months after that, and correlated with cardiac mortality/Tx at the end of follow-up. Cox and logistic regression analyses were performed with ROC and Kaplan-Meier curves. The model was internally validated by bootstrapping. Results: There were 29 (25%) deaths/Tx during follow-up of 34.09 ± 17.9 months. Cardiac mortality/Tx was 16.3%. In the multivariate Cox model, EF < 30%, grade III/IV diastolic dysfunction and grade III mitral regurgitation at 6‑12 months were independently related to increased cardiac mortality or Tx, with hazard ratios of 3.1, 4.63 and 7.11, respectively. The area under the ROC curve was 0.78. Conclusion: EF lower than 30%, severe diastolic dysfunction and severe mitral regurgitation indicate poor prognosis 1 year after CRT. The combination of two of those variables indicate the need for other treatment options.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia - SBCArquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia v.105 n.6 20152015-12-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articletext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0066-782X2015002500552en10.5935/abc.20150108
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language English
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author Rocha,Eduardo Arrais
Pereira,Francisca Tatiana Moreira
Abreu,José Sebastião
Lima,José Wellington O.
Monteiro,Marcelo de Paula M.
Rocha Neto,Almino Cavalcante
Quidute,Ana Rosa Pinto
Goés,Camilla Viana A.
Rodrigues Sobrinho,Carlos Roberto Martins
Scanavacca,Maurício Ibrahim
spellingShingle Rocha,Eduardo Arrais
Pereira,Francisca Tatiana Moreira
Abreu,José Sebastião
Lima,José Wellington O.
Monteiro,Marcelo de Paula M.
Rocha Neto,Almino Cavalcante
Quidute,Ana Rosa Pinto
Goés,Camilla Viana A.
Rodrigues Sobrinho,Carlos Roberto Martins
Scanavacca,Maurício Ibrahim
Echocardiographic Predictors of Worse Outcome After Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy
author_facet Rocha,Eduardo Arrais
Pereira,Francisca Tatiana Moreira
Abreu,José Sebastião
Lima,José Wellington O.
Monteiro,Marcelo de Paula M.
Rocha Neto,Almino Cavalcante
Quidute,Ana Rosa Pinto
Goés,Camilla Viana A.
Rodrigues Sobrinho,Carlos Roberto Martins
Scanavacca,Maurício Ibrahim
author_sort Rocha,Eduardo Arrais
title Echocardiographic Predictors of Worse Outcome After Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy
title_short Echocardiographic Predictors of Worse Outcome After Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy
title_full Echocardiographic Predictors of Worse Outcome After Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy
title_fullStr Echocardiographic Predictors of Worse Outcome After Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy
title_full_unstemmed Echocardiographic Predictors of Worse Outcome After Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy
title_sort echocardiographic predictors of worse outcome after cardiac resynchronization therapy
description Abstract Background: Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) is the recommended treatment by leading global guidelines. However, 30%-40% of selected patients are non-responders. Objective: To develop an echocardiographic model to predict cardiac death or transplantation (Tx) 1 year after CRT. Method: Observational, prospective study, with the inclusion of 116 patients, aged 64.89 ± 11.18 years, 69.8% male, 68,1% in NYHA FC III and 31,9% in FC IV, 71.55% with left bundle-branch block, and median ejection fraction (EF) of 29%. Evaluations were made in the pre‑implantation period and 6-12 months after that, and correlated with cardiac mortality/Tx at the end of follow-up. Cox and logistic regression analyses were performed with ROC and Kaplan-Meier curves. The model was internally validated by bootstrapping. Results: There were 29 (25%) deaths/Tx during follow-up of 34.09 ± 17.9 months. Cardiac mortality/Tx was 16.3%. In the multivariate Cox model, EF < 30%, grade III/IV diastolic dysfunction and grade III mitral regurgitation at 6‑12 months were independently related to increased cardiac mortality or Tx, with hazard ratios of 3.1, 4.63 and 7.11, respectively. The area under the ROC curve was 0.78. Conclusion: EF lower than 30%, severe diastolic dysfunction and severe mitral regurgitation indicate poor prognosis 1 year after CRT. The combination of two of those variables indicate the need for other treatment options.
publisher Sociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia - SBC
publishDate 2015
url http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0066-782X2015002500552
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