Contrasting growth forecasts across the geographical range of Scots pine due to altitudinal and latitudinal differences in climatic sensitivity
11 páginas.--3 figuras.-- 3 tablas.-- 68 referencias.-- Additional Supporting Information may be found in the online version of this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13627
Na minha lista:
| Principais autores: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Outros Autores: | |
| Formato: | artículo biblioteca |
| Idioma: | English |
| Publicado em: |
John Wiley & Sons
2017-10
|
| Assuntos: | Climate, Dendrochronology, Distribution, Growth, Modelling, Pinus sylvestris, |
| Acesso em linha: | http://hdl.handle.net/10261/155835 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100011011 |
| Tags: |
Adicionar Tag
Sem tags, seja o primeiro a adicionar uma tag!
|
| id |
dig-irnas-es-10261-155835 |
|---|---|
| record_format |
koha |
| spelling |
dig-irnas-es-10261-1558352017-10-05T00:57:50Z Contrasting growth forecasts across the geographical range of Scots pine due to altitudinal and latitudinal differences in climatic sensitivity Matías Resina, Luis Linares, J. C. Sánchez-Miranda, A. Jump, Alistair S. European Commission CSIC - Patronato Juan de la Cierva de Investigación Científica y Técnica Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (España) Junta de Andalucía Climate Dendrochronology Distribution Growth Modelling Pinus sylvestris 11 páginas.--3 figuras.-- 3 tablas.-- 68 referencias.-- Additional Supporting Information may be found in the online version of this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13627 Ongoing changes in global climate are altering ecological conditions for many species. The consequences of such changes are typically most evident at the edge of a species’ geographical distribution, where differences in growth or population dynamics may result in range expansions or contractions. Understanding population responses to different climatic drivers along wide latitudinal and altitudinal gradients is necessary in order to gain a better understanding of plant responses to ongoing increases in global temperature and drought severity. We selected Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) as a model species to explore growth responses to climatic variability (seasonal temperature and precipitation) over the last century through dendrochronological methods. We developed linear models based on age, climate and previous growth to forecast growth trends up to year 2100 using climatic predictions. Populations were located at the treeline across a latitudinal gradient covering the northern, central and southernmost populations and across an altitudinal gradient at the southern edge of the distribution (treeline, medium and lower elevations). Radial growth was maximal at medium altitude and treeline of the southernmost populations. Temperature was the main factor controlling growth variability along the gradients, although the timing and strength of climatic variables affecting growth shifted with latitude and altitude. Predictive models forecast a general increase in Scots pine growth at treeline across the latitudinal distribution, with southern populations increasing growth up to year 2050, when it stabilizes. The highest responsiveness appeared at central latitude, and moderate growth increase is projected at the northern limit. Contrastingly, the model forecasted growth declines at lowland-southern populations, suggesting an upslope range displacement over the coming decades. Our results give insight into the geographical responses of tree species to climate change and demonstrate the importance of incorporating biogeographical variability into predictive models for an accurate prediction of species dynamics as climate changes. We thank L. Cavin for methodological advice, and P. González-Diaz and R. Sánchez-Salguero for helping in the tree-ring mea-surements and data processing. This research was funded by EU Marie-Curie (FP7-2011-IEF-300825) and Juan de la Cierva (FPDI-2013-15867) grants to LM. JCL acknowledges financialsupport by CGL2013-48843-C2-2-R (Ministerio de Economíıa y Competitividad) and TRANSHABITAT (European Union FEDER 0087). Peer reviewed 2017-09-29T07:57:01Z 2017-09-29T07:57:01Z 2017-10 artículo http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 Global Change Biology 23(10): 4106-4116 (2017) 1365-2486 http://hdl.handle.net/10261/155835 10.1111/gcb.13627 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100011011 en #PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE# #PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE# #PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE# info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/300825 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/MINECO/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2013-2016/FPDI-2013-15867 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/MINECO/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2013-2016/CGL2013-48843-C2-2-R Preprint http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13627 Sí open John Wiley & Sons |
| institution |
IRNAS ES |
| collection |
DSpace |
| country |
España |
| countrycode |
ES |
| component |
Bibliográfico |
| access |
En linea |
| databasecode |
dig-irnas-es |
| tag |
biblioteca |
| region |
Europa del Sur |
| libraryname |
Biblioteca del IRNAS España |
| language |
English |
| topic |
Climate Dendrochronology Distribution Growth Modelling Pinus sylvestris Climate Dendrochronology Distribution Growth Modelling Pinus sylvestris |
| spellingShingle |
Climate Dendrochronology Distribution Growth Modelling Pinus sylvestris Climate Dendrochronology Distribution Growth Modelling Pinus sylvestris Matías Resina, Luis Linares, J. C. Sánchez-Miranda, A. Jump, Alistair S. Contrasting growth forecasts across the geographical range of Scots pine due to altitudinal and latitudinal differences in climatic sensitivity |
| description |
11 páginas.--3 figuras.-- 3 tablas.-- 68 referencias.-- Additional Supporting Information may be found in the online version of this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13627 |
| author2 |
European Commission |
| author_facet |
European Commission Matías Resina, Luis Linares, J. C. Sánchez-Miranda, A. Jump, Alistair S. |
| format |
artículo |
| topic_facet |
Climate Dendrochronology Distribution Growth Modelling Pinus sylvestris |
| author |
Matías Resina, Luis Linares, J. C. Sánchez-Miranda, A. Jump, Alistair S. |
| author_sort |
Matías Resina, Luis |
| title |
Contrasting growth forecasts across the geographical range of Scots pine due to altitudinal and latitudinal differences in climatic sensitivity |
| title_short |
Contrasting growth forecasts across the geographical range of Scots pine due to altitudinal and latitudinal differences in climatic sensitivity |
| title_full |
Contrasting growth forecasts across the geographical range of Scots pine due to altitudinal and latitudinal differences in climatic sensitivity |
| title_fullStr |
Contrasting growth forecasts across the geographical range of Scots pine due to altitudinal and latitudinal differences in climatic sensitivity |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Contrasting growth forecasts across the geographical range of Scots pine due to altitudinal and latitudinal differences in climatic sensitivity |
| title_sort |
contrasting growth forecasts across the geographical range of scots pine due to altitudinal and latitudinal differences in climatic sensitivity |
| publisher |
John Wiley & Sons |
| publishDate |
2017-10 |
| url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/155835 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100011011 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT matiasresinaluis contrastinggrowthforecastsacrossthegeographicalrangeofscotspineduetoaltitudinalandlatitudinaldifferencesinclimaticsensitivity AT linaresjc contrastinggrowthforecastsacrossthegeographicalrangeofscotspineduetoaltitudinalandlatitudinaldifferencesinclimaticsensitivity AT sanchezmirandaa contrastinggrowthforecastsacrossthegeographicalrangeofscotspineduetoaltitudinalandlatitudinaldifferencesinclimaticsensitivity AT jumpalistairs contrastinggrowthforecastsacrossthegeographicalrangeofscotspineduetoaltitudinalandlatitudinaldifferencesinclimaticsensitivity |
| _version_ |
1777664926744051712 |