How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?

The impacts of climate change on crop yields, as projected by a slew of impact assessments carried out since the 1980s, have brought the issue of future food insecurity to the fore. A meta-analysis of ∼27 000 data points from studies published over the last four decades reveals that at country level, average impacts of climate change on crop yields up to the 2050s are generally small (but negative) for rice and wheat, and modest for maize, provided farmers adopt practices and technologies such as improved varieties, planting at optimal times, and improved water and fertilizer management. These technologies also have the potential to reduce differences across political, economic and climatic regions. Once these are adopted, climate change may not add significantly to the challenge of food production for the majority of countries except for some potential hotspots distributed around the world. Massive investment, policy, and institutional support will be needed, however, to facilitate adoption and scaling-out of such practices, and to address climatic variability.

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Main Authors: Aggarwal, P.K., Vyas, S., Thornton, P.K., Campbell, B.M.
Format: Article biblioteca
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2019
Subjects:AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY, Climate Change Impact, Meta-Analysis, CLIMATE CHANGE, FOOD SECURITY, CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION, AGRICULTURE,
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10883/20259
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spelling dig-cimmyt-10883-202592023-10-25T20:51:41Z How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century? Aggarwal, P.K. Vyas, S. Thornton, P.K. Campbell, B.M. AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY Climate Change Impact Meta-Analysis CLIMATE CHANGE FOOD SECURITY CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION AGRICULTURE The impacts of climate change on crop yields, as projected by a slew of impact assessments carried out since the 1980s, have brought the issue of future food insecurity to the fore. A meta-analysis of ∼27 000 data points from studies published over the last four decades reveals that at country level, average impacts of climate change on crop yields up to the 2050s are generally small (but negative) for rice and wheat, and modest for maize, provided farmers adopt practices and technologies such as improved varieties, planting at optimal times, and improved water and fertilizer management. These technologies also have the potential to reduce differences across political, economic and climatic regions. Once these are adopted, climate change may not add significantly to the challenge of food production for the majority of countries except for some potential hotspots distributed around the world. Massive investment, policy, and institutional support will be needed, however, to facilitate adoption and scaling-out of such practices, and to address climatic variability. 2019-09-20T21:14:18Z 2019-09-20T21:14:18Z 2019 Article Published Version 1748-9318 https://hdl.handle.net/10883/20259 10.1088/1748-9326/aafa3e English http://stacks.iop.org/ERL/14/043001/mmedia https://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/14/4/043001/media/erl_14_043001_sd.pdf CIMMYT manages Intellectual Assets as International Public Goods. The user is free to download, print, store and share this work. In case you want to translate or create any other derivative work and share or distribute such translation/derivative work, please contact CIMMYT-Knowledge-Center@cgiar.org indicating the work you want to use and the kind of use you intend; CIMMYT will contact you with the suitable license for that purpose. Open Access PDF United Kingdom IOP Publishing 4 14 Environmental Research Letters 043001
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language English
topic AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY
Climate Change Impact
Meta-Analysis
CLIMATE CHANGE
FOOD SECURITY
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
AGRICULTURE
AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY
Climate Change Impact
Meta-Analysis
CLIMATE CHANGE
FOOD SECURITY
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
AGRICULTURE
spellingShingle AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY
Climate Change Impact
Meta-Analysis
CLIMATE CHANGE
FOOD SECURITY
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
AGRICULTURE
AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY
Climate Change Impact
Meta-Analysis
CLIMATE CHANGE
FOOD SECURITY
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
AGRICULTURE
Aggarwal, P.K.
Vyas, S.
Thornton, P.K.
Campbell, B.M.
How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?
description The impacts of climate change on crop yields, as projected by a slew of impact assessments carried out since the 1980s, have brought the issue of future food insecurity to the fore. A meta-analysis of ∼27 000 data points from studies published over the last four decades reveals that at country level, average impacts of climate change on crop yields up to the 2050s are generally small (but negative) for rice and wheat, and modest for maize, provided farmers adopt practices and technologies such as improved varieties, planting at optimal times, and improved water and fertilizer management. These technologies also have the potential to reduce differences across political, economic and climatic regions. Once these are adopted, climate change may not add significantly to the challenge of food production for the majority of countries except for some potential hotspots distributed around the world. Massive investment, policy, and institutional support will be needed, however, to facilitate adoption and scaling-out of such practices, and to address climatic variability.
format Article
topic_facet AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY
Climate Change Impact
Meta-Analysis
CLIMATE CHANGE
FOOD SECURITY
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
AGRICULTURE
author Aggarwal, P.K.
Vyas, S.
Thornton, P.K.
Campbell, B.M.
author_facet Aggarwal, P.K.
Vyas, S.
Thornton, P.K.
Campbell, B.M.
author_sort Aggarwal, P.K.
title How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?
title_short How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?
title_full How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?
title_fullStr How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?
title_full_unstemmed How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?
title_sort how much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?
publisher IOP Publishing
publishDate 2019
url https://hdl.handle.net/10883/20259
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